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A Flexible Height–Diameter Model for Tree Height Imputation on Forest Inventory Sample Plots Using Repeated Measures from the Past

机译:使用过去的重复测量方法在森林清单样本图上估算树高的灵活的高径模型

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In this study, height–diameter relations were modeled using two different mixed model types for imputation of missing heights from longitudinal data. Model Type A had a hierarchical structure of sample plot-specific and measurement occasion-specific random effects. In Model Type B, a possible temporal variance was modeled by a sample plot-specific linear time trend. Furthermore, various calibration strategies of random effects were performed on past and current data, and a combination of both. The performance of the mixed models was compared on independent data using bias and root mean square error (RMSE). The results showed that Model Type A achieved the highest precision (lowest RMSE), if sample plot-specific random effects were predicted from old data and measurement occasion-specific ones were predicted from new data. In comparison, however, Model Type B had a higher RMSE, and lower bias. Model performance was almost unaffected from the usage of past or current data for the prediction of random effects. Results revealed that a certain calibration strategy should be simultaneously applied to all random effects from the same hierarchy level. Otherwise, predictions would become imprecise and a serious bias may result. In comparison with traditional uniform height curves, the novel mixed model approach performed slightly better.
机译:在这项研究中,使用两种不同的混合模型类型对高度-直径关系进行建模,以便从纵向数据中估算缺失的高度。模型类型A具有样本图特定和测量场合特定随机效应的分层结构。在模型类型B中,可能的时间差异是通过样本图特定的线性时间趋势建模的。此外,对过去和当前数据进行了各种随机影响的校准策略,并结合了两者。使用偏差和均方根误差(RMSE)在独立数据上比较了混合模型的性能。结果表明,如果根据旧数据预测样地特定的随机效应,并根据新数据预测特定测量场合的随机效应,则模型A型可达到最高精度(最低RMSE)。但是,相比之下,B型模型具有更高的RMSE和更低的偏差。模型性能几乎不受使用过去或当前数据预测随机效应的影响。结果表明,应将某种校准策略同时应用于来自同一层级的所有随机效应。否则,预测将变得不准确,并可能导致严重的偏差。与传统的均匀高度曲线相比,新颖的混合模型方法的效果要好一些。

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