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Public debt and pro-poor economic growth evidence from South Asian countries

机译:南亚国家的公共债务和有利于穷人的经济增长证据

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Over the years, most developing countries have failed to collect enough revenues to finance their budgets. As a result, they face the problem of twin deficits and are relying on public external and domestic debt to finance their developmental activities. NGOs and anti-globalisation movements have propagated the view that instead of reducing poverty public debt has increased the miseries of the poor. The current study examines the consequences of public debt for economic growth and poverty regarding selected South Asian countries, i.e., Bangladesh, India, Pakistan and Sri Lanka, for the period 1975–2010. It develops an empirical model that incorporates the role of public debt into growth equations and the model is extended to incorporate the effects of debt on poverty. The model is estimated by using standard panel data estimation methodologies. The results shows that although public debt has a negative impact on economic growth, neither public external debt nor external debt servicing has a significant relationship with income inequality, suggesting that public external debt is as good/bad for poor as it is for rich. However, domestic debt has a positive relationship with economic growth and a negative relationship with the GINI coefficient, indicating that domestic debt is pro-poor.
机译:多年来,大多数发展中国家一直没有收集到足够的收入来为其预算提供资金。结果,他们面临双重赤字的问题,并依靠公共外债和内债来为其发展活动提供资金。非政府组织和反全球化运动传播了这样一种观点,即公共债务不但没有减少贫困,反而加剧了穷人的痛苦。本研究调查了1975-2010年期间某些南亚国家(即孟加拉国,印度,巴基斯坦和斯里兰卡)的公共债务对经济增长和贫困的影响。它建立了一个将公共债务的作用纳入增长方程的经验模型,并对该模型进行了扩展,以纳入债务对贫困的影响。该模型是通过使用标准面板数据估算方法估算的。结果表明,尽管公共债务对经济增长具有负面影响,但公共外债和偿还外债均与收入不平等没有显着关系,这表明公共外债对穷人和富人都是好/坏。但是,国内债务与经济增长具有正相关关系,而与基尼系数则具有负相关关系,表明国内债务具有扶贫作用。

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