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Long-Term Outcome of Patients Followed by Nephrologists after an Acute Tubular Necrosis Episode

机译:急性肾小管坏死发作后肾病医生随访患者的长期结果

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Aims of our study were to describe the long-term survival in patients surviving an acute tubular necrosis (ATN) episode and determine factors associated with late mortality. We performed a prospective cohort study that evaluated the long-term outcome of 212 patients surviving an ATN episode. Mortality at the end of followup was 24.5%, and the probability of these patients being alive 5 years after discharge was 55%. During the followup, 4.7% of patients needed chronic dialysis. Univariate analysis showed that previous CKD (P=0.0079), cardiovascular disease (P=0.019), age greater than 60 years (P<0.0001), and higher SCr baseline (P=0.001), after 12 months (P=0.0015) and 36 months (P=0.004), were predictors of long-term mortality. In multivariate analysis, older age (HR = 6.4, CI 95% = 1.2–34.5,P=0.02) and higher SCr after 12 months (HR = 2.1, 95% CI 95% = 1.14–4.1,P=0.017) were identified as risk factors associated with late mortality. In conclusion, 55% of patients surviving an ATN episode were still alive, and less than 5% required chronic dialysis 60 months later; older age and increased Scr after 12 months were identified as risk factors associated with late death.
机译:我们研究的目的是描述急性肾小管坏死(ATN)发作患者的长期生存率,并确定与晚期死亡率相关的因素。我们进行了一项前瞻性队列研究,评估了212名在ATN事件中幸存的患者的长期预后。随访结束时的死亡率为24.5%,这些患者出院后5年存活的可能性为55%。在随访期间,有4.7%的患者需要进行慢性透析。单因素分析显示,在12个月后(P = 0.0015)和以前的CKD(P = 0.0079),心血管疾病(P = 0.019),年龄大于60岁(P <0.0001)和较高的SCr基线(P = 0.001)和36个月(P = 0.004)是长期死亡率的预测指标。在多变量分析中,确定了年龄较大(HR = 6.4,CI 95%= 1.2–34.5,P = 0.02)和12个月后较高的SCr(HR = 2.1,95%CI 95%= 1.14-4.1,P = 0.017)。作为与晚期死亡率相关的危险因素。总之,在ATN发作中幸存的患者中55%仍然活着,并且不到5%的患者在60个月后需要进行慢性透析;年龄大和12个月后Scr升高是与晚期死亡相关的危险因素。

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