THE EFFECT OF NETWORK PARAMETERS ON PI-SIGMA NEURAL NETWORK FOR TEMPERATURE FORECASTING

摘要

In this paper, we present the effect of network parameters to forecast temperature of a suburban area in Batu Pahat, Johor. The common ways of predicting the temperature using Neural Network has been applied for most meteorological parameters. However, researchers frequently neglected the network parameters which might affect the Neural Network's performance. Therefore, this study tends to explore the effect of network parameters by using Pi Sigma Neural Network (PSNN) with backpropagation algorithm. The network's performance is evaluated using the historical dataset of temperature in Batu Pahat for one step-ahead and benchmarked against Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) for comparison. We found out that, network parameters have significantly affected the performance of PSNN for temperature forecasting. Towards the end of this paper, we concluded the best forecasting model to predict the temperature based on the comparison of our study.