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Data Mining Methods to Generate Severe Wind Gust Models

机译:生成严重风阵模型的数据挖掘方法

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Gaining knowledge on weather patterns, trends and the influence of their extremes on various crop production yields and quality continues to be a quest by scientists, agriculturists, and managers. Precise and timely information aids decision-making, which is widely accepted as intrinsically necessary for increased production and improved quality. Studies in this research domain, especially those related to data mining and interpretation are being carried out by the authors and their colleagues. Some of this work that relates to data definition, description, analysis, and modelling is described in this paper. This includes studies that have evaluated extreme dry/wet weather events against reported yield at different scales in general. They indicate the effects of weather extremes such as prolonged high temperatures, heavy rainfall, and severe wind gusts. Occurrences of these events are among the main weather extremes that impact on many crops worldwide. Wind gusts are difficult to anticipate due to their rapid manifestation and yet can have catastrophic effects on crops and buildings. This paper examines the use of data mining methods to reveal patterns in the weather conditions, such as time of the day, month of the year, wind direction, speed, and severity using a data set from a single location. Case study data is used to provide examples of how the methods used can elicit meaningful information and depict it in a fashion usable for management decision making. Historical weather data acquired between 2008 and 2012 has been used for this study from telemetry devices installed in a vineyard in the north of New Zealand. The results show that using data mining techniques and the local weather conditions, such as relative pressure, temperature, wind direction and speed recorded at irregular intervals, can produce new knowledge relating to wind gust patterns for vineyard management decision making.
机译:科学家,农业学家和管理人员一直在寻求有关天气模式,趋势及其极端情况对各种农作物产量和质量的影响的知识。准确及时的信息有助于决策,这被广泛认为是提高产量和提高质量的内在必要条件。作者及其同事正在进行该研究领域的研究,尤其是与数据挖掘和解释有关的研究。本文介绍了一些与数据定义,描述,分析和建模有关的工作。总体而言,这包括针对极端干旱/潮湿天气事件与报告的单产进行评估的研究。它们表明了极端天气的影响,例如长时间的高温,大雨和强烈的阵风。这些事件的发生是影响全球许多农作物的主要极端天气之一。由于阵风迅速出现,因此很难预料,但会对农作物和建筑物造成灾难性影响。本文研究了使用数据挖掘方法来揭示天气条件下的模式,例如使用来自单个位置的数据集来揭示一天中的时间,一年中的月份,风向,速度和严重性。案例研究数据用于提供示例,说明所使用的方法如何引发有意义的信息并以可用于管理决策的方式对其进行描述。这项研究使用了2008年至2012年之间获取的历史天气数据,这些数据来自安装在新西兰北部葡萄园中的遥测设备。结果表明,使用数据挖掘技术和不定期记录相对天气,相对压力,温度,风向和风速等当地天气状况,可以为葡萄园管理决策提供有关阵风模式的新知识。

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