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Analysis of the Influence Factors of Grain Supply-Demand Gap in China

机译:中国粮食供求缺口的影响因素分析

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Based on the analysis of the grain supply and demand gap’s current situation in China, this paper establishes an indicator system for the influence factors of grain supply and demand gap. Then this paper calculates the correlation degree between the main grain varieties’ supply and demand gap and its influence factors. The results show that sown area and unit yield have the greatest impact on wheat supply and demand gap; per capita disposable income and unit yield have the greatest impact on corn supply and demand gap; per capita disposable income and agricultural mechanization level have the greatest impact on the supply and demand gap of soybean and rice. From the analysis results, we can obtain the difference between the factors affecting the grain supply and demand gap, and provide a certain theoretical basis and new ideas for the balance of grain supply and demand in China.
机译:在分析我国粮食供需缺口现状的基础上,建立了影响粮食供需缺口的指标体系。然后计算出主要粮食品种供需缺口之间的相关程度及其影响因素。结果表明,播种面积和单产对小麦供需缺口的影响最大。人均可支配收入和单位产量对玉米供需缺口的影响最大;人均可支配收入和农业机械化水平对大豆和大米的供需缺口影响最大。从分析结果可以得出影响粮食供需缺口的因素之间的差异,为我国粮食供求平衡提供一定的理论基础和新思路。

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