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Long-Run Implications of Public Debt on Economic Growth

机译:公共债务对经济增长的长期影响

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Many European countries faced with large fiscal deficits have adopted great plans of austerity to limit their public debt. In Romania, despite many measures to reduce public sector wages and some social allowances, in the 2009 and 2010 has been recorded only a small contraction of governmental expenditure but a fast growing public debt. However, the main effects of the austerity measures have materialized in a significant reduction in domestic demand and an important reduction of gross domestic product. Also, despite a substantial reduction of supply, the unemployment rate has not exceeded 8% in Romania. This paper aims to analyze how much the policies restricting budget deficit and public debt in Romania delayed the resumption of economic growth. Even the euro adoption perspective impose a stricter management of Romanian budgetary policies and other nominal convergence criteria, the hard core of economic policies must be the reinventing a new path to sustainable growth. It is necessary to conclude a new financing agreement with IMF for the next two years? We also intend to test the tolerance degree of the Romanian economy to public debt expansion (according to Reinhart&Rogoff model, 2010) as reflected in the growth rate of real gross domestic product.
机译:许多面临巨额财政赤字的欧洲国家已经采取了紧缩计划,以限制其公共债务。在罗马尼亚,尽管采取了许多降低公共部门工资和一些社会津贴的措施,但在2009年和2010年,政府支出仅录得少量收缩,但公共债务却迅速增长。但是,紧缩措施的主要效果已经实现,内需大大减少,国内生产总值大大减少。此外,尽管供应大量减少,罗马尼亚的失业率仍未超过8%。本文旨在分析罗马尼亚限制预算赤字和公共债务的政策在多大程度上延迟了经济增长的恢复。即使从采用欧元的观点出发,也要对罗马尼亚的预算政策和其他名义上的趋同标准进行更严格的管理,经济政策的硬核也必须是重新发明可持续增长的新途径。未来两年是否有必要与IMF签订新的融资协议?我们还打算测试罗马尼亚经济对公共债务扩张的容忍度(根据Reinhart&Rogoff模型,2010年),以实际国内生产总值的增长率反映。

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