首页> 外文期刊>Acta Universitatis Danubius. Oeconomica >Does Fiscal Deficit Granger Cause Impulsiveness in Inflation Rate in Nigeria?
【24h】

Does Fiscal Deficit Granger Cause Impulsiveness in Inflation Rate in Nigeria?

机译:财政赤字格兰杰是否会引起尼日利亚通货膨胀率的冲动?

获取原文
           

摘要

This study examined the direction of causality between fiscal policy and inflation volatility in Nigeria for the periods 1981 to 2014. Secondary quarterly time series data on fiscal deficit and consumer price index (measure of inflation rate) from 1981:1 to 2013:3 were used for the study and obtained from the central bank of Nigeria statistical bulletin 2014 while the volatility data is generated through GARCH (1,1) method. The data collected was analyzed using the Pairwise Granger Causality Test. The findings of the study showed that the there was bi-directional causality between fiscal deficit (?and inflation volatility. Thus, since volatility in inflation rate is traceable to the persistent nature of the excess government expenditure over revenue of the Nigerian economy and vice versa. The study therefore recommended that appropriate policies should be put in place to check the extra budgetary expenditure of the government since they have been found to be inflationary and also, excess supply of money that results to inflation should as well be controlled by the government to afford artificial inflation rate that could cause increase in expenditure.
机译:这项研究调查了1981年至2014年尼日利亚的财政政策与通货膨胀率之间的因果关系方向。使用了1981:1至2013:3的财政赤字和消费者物价指数(通货膨胀率的度量)的第二季度时间序列数据。这项研究是从2014年尼日利亚中央统计公报获得的,而波动率数据是通过GARCH(1,1)方法生成的。使用成对格兰杰因果检验分析收集的数据。该研究的结果表明,财政赤字(?)与通货膨胀率波动之间存在双向因果关系。因此,由于通货膨胀率的波动可追溯至政府超额支出超过尼日利亚经济收入的持续性,反之亦然。因此,该研究建议,应制定适当的政策来检查政府的预算外支出,因为它们被认为具有通货膨胀性,而且,导致通货膨胀的货币过多也应由政府控制,以控制通货膨胀。提供可能导致支出增加的人为通胀率。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号