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Modern claim frequency and claim severity models: An application to the Russian motor own damage insurance market

机译:现代索赔频率和索赔严重性模型:在俄罗斯汽车自身损坏保险市场中的应用

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During 2012–2015, the motor insurance in Russia received considerable attention both from the parts of the Russian government and from the insurance business. This was caused, in particular, by significant losses from the side of insurance companies that occurred during 2012–2013. Experts explain these losses not only by the effects of inflation or by the changes in Russian insurance legislation, but also by the incomplete set of factors that has been used by insurance companies for tariff calculation. This research analyses the factors that influence claim frequency and claim severity in the Russian motor own damage (MOD) insurance to assess the efficiency of the existing set of factors used for MOD insurance tariff calculations. To this end, we employ the appropriate claim frequency and claim severity models on the data provided by one of the leading St. Petersburg (Russia) insurance companies for the period of 2012–2013. The results of our calculations, organized within a resampling framework, show that additional factors may indeed be worth taking into account in the MOD insurance tariff calculation.
机译:在2012年至2015年期间,俄罗斯的汽车保险受到了俄罗斯政府部门和保险业务的极大关注。特别是这是由于2012-2013年间保险公司遭受的重大损失所致。专家解释这些损失的原因不仅是通货膨胀的影响或俄罗斯保险法规的变化,还有保险公司用于计算费率的一系列不完整的因素。这项研究分析了影响俄罗斯机动车自身损害(MOD)保险中索赔频率和索赔严重性的因素,以评估用于MOD保险费率计算的现有因素集的效率。为此,我们对领先的圣彼得堡(俄罗斯)保险公司之一在2012-2013年期间提供的数据采用适当的索赔频率和索赔严重性模型。在重新抽样框架内组织的计算结果表明,在MOD保险费率计算中可能确实需要考虑其他因素。

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