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A comparative epidemiologic analysis of SARS in Hong Kong, Beijing and Taiwan

机译:香港,北京和台湾的SARS流行病学比较分析

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Background The 2002-2003 Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) outbreak infected 8,422 individuals leading to 916 deaths around the world. However, there have been few epidemiological studies of SARS comparing epidemiologic features across regions. The aim of this study is to identify similarities and differences in SARS epidemiology in three populations with similar host and viral genotype. Methods We present a comparative epidemiologic analysis of SARS, based on an integrated dataset with 3,336 SARS patients from Hong Kong, Beijing and Taiwan, epidemiological and clinical characteristics such as incubation, onset-to-admission, onset-to-discharge and onset-to-death periods, case fatality ratios (CFRs) and presenting symptoms are described and compared between regions. We further explored the influence of demographic and clinical variables on the apparently large differences in CFRs between the three regions. Results All three regions showed similar incubation periods and progressive shortening of the onset-to-admission interval through the epidemic. Adjusted for sex, health care worker status and nosocomial setting, older age was associated with a higher fatality, with adjusted odds ratio (AOR): 2.10 (95% confidence interval: 1.45, 3.04) for those aged 51-60; AOR: 4.57 (95% confidence interval: 3.32, 7.30) for those aged above 60 compared to those aged 41-50 years. Presence of pre-existing comorbid conditions was also associated with greater mortality (AOR: 1.74; 95% confidence interval: 1.36, 2.21). Conclusion The large discrepancy in crude fatality ratios across the three regions can only be partly explained by epidemiological and clinical heterogeneities. Our findings underline the importance of a common data collection platform, especially in an emerging epidemic, in order to identify and explain consistencies and differences in the eventual clinical and public health outcomes of infectious disease outbreaks, which is becoming increasingly important in our highly interconnected world.
机译:背景资料2002-2003年的严重急性呼吸系统综合症(SARS)暴发感染了8,422个人,导致全世界916人死亡。但是,很少有SARS的流行病学研究比较跨地区的流行病学特征。这项研究的目的是确定宿主和病毒基因型相似的三个人群在SARS流行病学方面的异同。方法我们根据来自香港,北京和台湾的3336名SARS患者的综合数据集,对SARS进行了流行病学比较分析,并研究了潜伏期,入院,出院和发病的流行病学和临床特征。 -描述死亡时间,病死率(CFR)和症状表现,并在区域之间进行比较。我们进一步探讨了人口统计学和临床​​变量对这三个区域之间CFR明显不同的影响。结果这三个地区的潜伏期相似,整个流行期间的发病间隔时间逐渐缩短。在对性别,卫生保健工作者的身份和医院环境进行调整后,年龄较大的人与更高的死亡率相关,对于51-60岁的人,调整后的优势比(AOR):2.10(95%置信区间:1.45、3.04); AOR:60岁以上人群的AOR:4.57(95%置信区间:3.32、7.30),而41-50岁年龄段的人群。先前存在的合并症也与更高的死亡率相关(AOR:1.74; 95%置信区间:1.36,2.21)。结论在三个地区,粗死亡率的巨大差异只能部分由流行病学和临床异质性来解释。我们的发现强调了一个通用数据收集平台的重要性,尤其是在正在流行的流行病中,以便识别和解释传染病暴发的最终临床和公共卫生结果的一致性和差异,在我们高度互联的世界中,这一点变得越来越重要。

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