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AN INITIAL ENVIRONMENTAL-EPIDEMIOLOGICAL ANALYSIS OF THE SPREAD OF SARS AT A HIGH-RISE HOUSING ESTATE IN HONG KONG

机译:香港某高层住宅区严重急性呼吸系统综合症蔓延的初步环境流行病学分析

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摘要

Previous studies on the SARS outbreak in Hong Kong in 2003 that sought to determine the causes of SARS transmission assumed that the living environments of SARS patients were critical. This article tests the null hypothesis that the SARS incidents in a local housing estate were random, and hence unrelated to the built environment. This test was executed by: (a) using the chi-square method to evaluate eight empirical hypotheses about the relationship among the built environment variables of floor level, block location, and flat location; and (b) employing the Gini Coefficient and Lorenz Curve to measure SARS information aggregated by residential unit for analysis of inequalities and concentration of dates of SARS incidence. The results show the disparity of SARS incidence distribution is significantly large, i.e. the probability that the SARS incidents in the sample area occurred randomly was insignificantly low. Using the same data set that has been used to establish Yu's theory (2003), the results were not inconsistent with the theory that SARS was possibly transmitted by contaminated domestic moisture carried by air currents, so the limitations of the analysis will be discussed.
机译:先前关于2003年香港SARS暴发的研究试图确定SARS传播的原因是,假设SARS患者的生活环境至关重要。本文检验了一个零假设,即一个本地房屋中的SARS事件是随机的,因此与建筑环境无关。该测试是通过以下方式执行的:(a)使用卡方方法评估关于建筑水平,楼层位置,平坦位置和平坦位置之间的关系的八个经验假设; (b)利用基尼系数和洛伦兹曲线来衡量居民单位汇总的SARS信息,以分析SARS发生日期的不平等和集中日期。结果表明,SARS发生率分布的差异非常大,即样本区域随机发生SARS发生率的可能性很小。使用用于建立Yu的理论(2003)的相同数据集,结果与认为SARS可能由气流携带的受污染的家用湿气传播的理论并不矛盾,因此将讨论分析的局限性。

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