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A Multistate Model of Reliability of Farming Machinery

机译:农机可靠性的多状态模型

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The article describes a multistate model of reliability of farming machinery as a deductive stochastic model of the process of changes in the technical conditions observed during operation. These conditions determine the capacity of machinery to fulfil functions, simultaneously keeping safety and maintaining acceptable costs of possible repairs. The theory of semi-Markov processes was used to solve the problem. After detailed analysis of the symptoms of damage to exemplary groups of farming machinery (rotary mowers, rotary harrows and harvesting presses) we obligatorily and arbitrarily proposed an optimal four-state reliability model to describe changes in technical conditions. In contrast to the classic reliability theory, which allows only two states of technical usability (either a machine is fit to function or not), we also allowed intermediate states, because not all types of damage affect the functionality of machinery. This approach increases the probability of technical usability of machinery and rationally delays the moment of premature repair.
机译:本文将农业机械可靠性的多状态模型描述为操作过程中观察到的技术条件变化过程的演绎随机模型。这些条件决定了机器执行功能的能力,同时保持安全性并保持可接受的可能维修成本。使用半马尔可夫过程理论来解决该问题。在详细分析了示例性农机组(旋耕机,旋耕机和收割机)的损坏症状之后,我们有义务任意地提出了一种最佳的四状态可靠性模型来描述技术条件的变化。与经典的可靠性理论(仅允许两个状态的技术可用性(机器是否适合运行))相反,我们也允许处于中间状态,因为并非所有类型的损坏都会影响机器的功能。这种方法增加了机械技术可用性的可能性,并合理地延迟了过早维修的时间。

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