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Parameter Interval Estimation of System Reliability for Repairable Multistate Series-Parallel System with Fuzzy Data

机译:具有模糊数据的可修复多状态串并联系统的系统参数区间估计

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摘要

The purpose of this paper is to create an interval estimation of the fuzzy system reliability for the repairable multistate series–parallel system (RMSS). Two-sided fuzzy confidence interval for the fuzzy system reliability is constructed. The performance of fuzzy confidence interval is considered based on the coverage probability and the expected length. In order to obtain the fuzzy system reliability, the fuzzy sets theory is applied to the system reliability problem when dealing with uncertainties in the RMSS. The fuzzy number with a triangular membership function is used for constructing the fuzzy failure rate and the fuzzy repair rate in the fuzzy reliability for the RMSS. The result shows that the good interval estimator for the fuzzy confidence interval is the obtained coverage probabilities the expected confidence coefficient with the narrowest expected length. The model presented herein is an effective estimation method when the sample size is n ≥ 100. In addition, the optimal α-cut for the narrowest lower expected length and the narrowest upper expected length are considered.
机译:本文的目的是为可修复的多状态串并联系统(RMSS)创建模糊系统可靠性的区间估计。构造了模糊系统可靠性的双向模糊置信区间。基于覆盖概率和预期长度来考虑模糊置信区间的性能。为了获得模糊系统的可靠性,在处理RMSS中的不确定性时,将模糊集理论应用于系统可靠性问题。具有三角隶属度函数的模糊数用于构造RMSS的模糊可靠性中的模糊失效率和模糊修复率。结果表明,模糊置信区间的良好区间估计量是所获得的覆盖概率,期望长度最窄的期望置信系数。当样本大小为n≥100时,本文介绍的模型是一种有效的估计方法。此外,考虑了最窄的最低预期长度和最窄的最高预期长度的最佳α割。

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