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机译:欧元区

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The breakdown of Q3 GDP (released just after our survey deadline) showed consumption helping to drive GDP growth. Activity rose by 0.3% (q-o-q), down slightly from 0.4% in Q2, although in y-o-y terms GDP accelerated by 1.6%. Weak international trade was a drag on growth. However, November's composite PMI recorded its strongest expansion in four years, showing some hope for Q4. Meanwhile, the ECB extended its quantitative easing program on December 3. However, the markets were expecting an even bigger rise in monthly purchases and had priced in such an expansion in QE. Consequently, stock and bond markets saw massive sell-offs while the euro, which had weakened close to parity against the US dollar in recent weeks, rose on the news.
机译:第三季度GDP的细分(在我们的调查截止日期之后发布)显示消费有助于推动GDP增长。经济活动环比增长0.3%(环比增长),比第二季度的0.4%略有下降,尽管GDP同比增长1.6%。国际贸易疲软拖累了增长。然而,11月份的综合PMI录得四年来最强劲的增长,显示出对第四季度的一些希望。同时,欧洲央行在12月3日延长了量化宽松计划。但是,市场预期每月购买量会进一步增加,并以此来量化量化宽松的价格。结果,股票和债券市场遭到大量抛售,而近几周来欧元兑美元几乎跌至平价的欧元受此消息提振。

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  • 来源
    《Consensus Forecasts》 |2015年第12期|18-19|共2页
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