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An Analyst's Case for Why Gold Could Keep Climbing

机译:为何黄金会继续攀升的分析师案例

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In November 2009, when gold traded for about $1,100 an ounce, money manager Barry Ritholtz wrote that his "intermediate target" price for the metal was $1,350 an ounce. Gold reached that level on Oct. 7 and hit $1,368 an ounce on Oct. 13. So where does Ritholtz, chief executive officer of FusionIQ, see it going? He considers three ways of valuing gold, shown below. "All three of the metrics suggest [gold] has not yet reached its highest potential price," Ritholtz says. "Slapping a $2,000 target is not unreasonable, and breaching its inflation-adjusted target of $2,358 is also possible." He adds an important caution: "Gold fever has risen to the point of excess," and gold shouldn't account for more than 5 percent of your portfolio.
机译:2009年11月,当黄金交易价格约为每盎司1100美元时,资金经理巴里·里特霍兹(Barry Ritholtz)写道,他对金属的“中间目标价”为每盎司1,350美元。黄金在10月7日达到了该水平,并在10月13日达到了1,368美元/盎司。那么,FusionIQ的首席执行官里特霍尔兹(Ritholtz)会看到什么呢?他考虑了三种评估黄金的方法,如下所示。 Ritholtz说:“所有三个指标都表明,[黄金]尚未达到最高的潜在价格。” “设定2,000美元的目标并非没有道理,突破通胀调整后的2,358美元的目标也是可能的。”他补充了一个重要的警告:“金热已经上升到过剩的程度,”并且金不应占您投资组合的5%以上。

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    《Business week》 |2010年第4200期|p.55|共1页
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  • 入库时间 2022-08-17 23:30:01

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