METHODS FOR EVALUATING THE WORLD'S LONG-TERM (20 YEARS) MARKET FOR WARPLANES

摘要

Today, there are four universally recognized analysis centers professionally studying arms sales. These are Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), Arms Control and Disarmament Agency (US ACDA), the Congressional Research Service (US CRS), and International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS, London). All these agencies specialize in estimation of supplied weapons without giving forecast.rnSeveral dedicated companies provide forecast of arms market development in separate categories. Those companies are Forecast International, Frostrnand Sullivan, Teal Group and some others. Theirrncalculations rely on analysis of countries' needsrnfor specific weapon types based on current andrnplanned rearmament programs as well as the studyrnof proposals on the world market made by mainrnmanufacturers of specific weapon types.