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首页> 外文期刊>Applied Economics Letters >Are Asian-Pacific real exchange rates (trend) stationary?
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Are Asian-Pacific real exchange rates (trend) stationary?

机译:亚太实际汇率(趋势)是否稳定?

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摘要

We apply the Range Unit-Root (RUR) test, a new nonparametric test advanced by Aparicio et al. (20064. Aparicio, F., Escribano, A. and Sipols, A. E. 2006. Range unit-root (RUR) tests: robust against nonlinearities, error distributions, structural breaks and outliers. Journal of Time Series Analysis , 27: 545-76. [CrossRef], [Web of Science ®]View all references), to the exploration of stationarity for 19 Asian-Pacific currencies. The RUR test is exceptionally well suited to this analysis because it is robust against multiple structural breaks, parameter shifts and certain additive outliers, does not depend on the variance of any stationary alternative and thereby outperforms standard tests in terms of power on near-unit-root stationary time series. We find strikingly favourable results for trend-stationarity for most of the 19 Asian-Pacific currencies studied. Our results indicate that the long-run equilibrium Real Exchange Rate (RER) varies with changes in some real economic factors, hinting at some type of Balassa-Samuelson effects, which is particularly plausible for export-led, fast-growing economies such as many of the Asian-Pacific countries included in this study.View full textDownload full textKeywordsreal exchange rates, trend-stationarity, RUR, FB-RURJEL ClassificationF31, G15Related var addthis_config = { ui_cobrand: "Taylor & Francis Online", services_compact: "citeulike,netvibes,twitter,technorati,delicious,linkedin,facebook,stumbleupon,digg,google,more", pubid: "ra-4dff56cd6bb1830b" }; Add to shortlist Link Permalink http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2010.548772
机译:我们应用范围单位根(RUR)检验,这是Aparicio等人提出的一种新的非参数检验。 (20064. Aparicio,F.,Escribano,A.和Sipols,AE 2006.范围单位根(RUR)测试:对非线性,误差分布,结构破坏和异常值具有鲁棒性。时间序列分析杂志,27:545-76 。[CrossRef],[Web of Science®]查看所有参考资料),以探讨19种亚太货币的平稳性。 RUR测试非常适合此分析,因为它对多个结构破坏,参数移动和某些累加离群值具有鲁棒性,并且不依赖于任何固定替代方案的方差,因此在近单元功率方面优于标准测试根平稳时间序列。对于所研究的19种亚太货币中的大多数,我们发现趋势平稳性非常惊人。我们的结果表明,长期均衡实际汇率(RER)随某些实际经济因素的变化而变化,这暗示了Balassa-Samuelson效应的某种类型,这对于以出口为导向,快速增长的经济体(例如许多经济体)尤其合理全文下载本关键词属于亚太地区国家。全文关键词实际汇率,趋势平稳性,RUR,FB-RURJEL分类F31,G15相关var addthis_config = {ui_cobrand:“泰勒和弗朗西斯在线”,service_compact:“ citeulike,netvibes ,twitter,technorati,可口,linkedin,facebook,stumbleupon,digg,google,更多”,发布号:“ ra-4dff56cd6bb1830b”};添加到候选列表链接永久链接http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2010.548772

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