Novice drink drivers, recidivism and crash involvement

摘要

A group of drink drivers with no prior arrest for drink driving was selected from drink driving arrest records originating in Western Australia between 1987 and 1995. These drink-driving records were linked to road crash records for the same period. The Analysis of these combined records focussed on the sequence of driving events (i.e., arrests, crashes and arrests resulting from Crashes) and the present article explores the relationship in time between known drink driving incidents and crash involvement. Using multi-variate survival analysis, it was found that if a driver's first drink driving offence resulted from a road crash, Especially if this occurred at a younger age, he/she was significantly more likely to drink, drive and crash again.