Violation and Crash Recidivism among New Jersey Drivers and the Effectiveness of New Jersey's Driver Monitoring and Control System

摘要

This paper presents the results of a study that examined motor vehicle violation and crash recidivism ratesamong New Jersey drivers and assessed the effectiveness of the New Jersey Motor Vehicle Commission(MVC) driver monitoring and control system in terms of correcting negligent driving behavior. As partof the study, the research team obtained and analyzed an extensive longitudinal database of driver historyrecords. These data included more than six million unique driver records encompassing more than 95million individual events. This represented a census of all New Jersey drivers with a violation or crashhistory at the time the data was exported. This study provides important evidence that New Jersey'sprogram of negligent driver countermeasures is effective at reducing violation and crash recidivismamong most negligent driver subgroups in the two-year period after MVC intervention. Of thecountermeasures used in New Jersey, the combination of license suspension with one-year probationresulted in the greatest overall reduction in both mean violation and crash rates. New Jersey's driver re-education classes which are accompanied by a 3-point credit against accumulated demerit points and one-year probation resulted in the lowest mean violation rate reduction. Point advisory notices which areaccompanied in New Jersey by a concurrent assessment of negligent driver fees appear to be an effectiveearly intervention, producing substantial reductions in both violation and crash recidivism among alldriver subgroups except teen drivers. The paper concludes with a number of policy recommendations forimproving driver management and control in New Jersey.