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European Regional Populations: Current Trends Future Pathways and Policy Options

机译:欧洲区域人口:当前趋势未来道路和政策选择

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摘要

Europe is currently experiencing an ageing population and slowing population growth of both the total and working-age populations. These trends are likely to continue. Even though population ageing will affect all European regions, different regions will be affected in different ways. Even under favorable conditions, 35–40 % of all NUTS2 regions will face a labor force decline. If economic conditions are poor, some regions may continue to grow, but 55–70 % of the regions will see a labor force decline by 10 % or more. In most regions of Eastern Europe, the labor force may decrease by more than 30 %. To keep regions prosperous (maintaining competitiveness) and to avoid worse inequality (maintaining cohesion), policy-makers must find ways to cope with these challenges through new fiscal and social policies, though policies directly affecting demographic and migratory trends may also be needed.
机译:欧洲目前正经历人口老龄化,总人口和劳动年龄人口的增长速度正在放缓。这些趋势可能会持续下去。即使人口老龄化会影响所有欧洲地区,但不同地区也会受到不同影响。即使在有利的条件下,所有NUTS2地区的35%至40%的劳动力将面临下降。如果经济状况不佳,某些地区可能会继续增长,但是55-70%的地区的劳动力将下降10%或更多。在东欧的大多数地区,劳动力可能会减少30%以上。为了保持地区的繁荣(保持竞争力)和避免更严重的不平等现象(保持凝聚力),决策者必须通过新的财政和社会政策找到应对这些挑战的方法,尽管也可能需要直接影响人口和移民趋势的政策。

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