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Long-time analytic approximation of large stochastic oscillators: Simulation, analysis and inference

机译:大型随机振荡器的长期解析逼近:仿真,分析和推断

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摘要

In order to analyse large complex stochastic dynamical models such as those studied in systems biology there is currently a great need for both analytical tools and also algorithms for accurate and fast simulation and estimation. We present a new stochastic approximation of biological oscillators that addresses these needs. Our method, called phase-corrected LNA (pcLNA) overcomes the main limitations of the standard Linear Noise Approximation (LNA) to remain uniformly accurate for long times, still maintaining the speed and analytically tractability of the LNA. As part of this, we develop analytical expressions for key probability distributions and associated quantities, such as the Fisher Information Matrix and Kullback-Leibler divergence and we introduce a new approach to system-global sensitivity analysis. We also present algorithms for statistical inference and for long-term simulation of oscillating systems that are shown to be as accurate but much faster than leaping algorithms and algorithms for integration of diffusion equations. Stochastic versions of published models of the circadian clock and NF-κB system are used to illustrate our results.
机译:为了分析诸如系统生物学中所研究的那些大型复杂的随机动力学模型,目前非常需要分析工具以及用于精确且快速的仿真和估计的算法。我们提出了一种生物振荡器的新的随机近似方法,可以满足这些需求。我们的称为相位校正LNA(pcLNA)的方法克服了标准线性噪声近似(LNA)的主要限制,可以长时间保持一致的准确性,同时仍保持LNA的速度和分析性。作为其一部分,我们开发了关键概率分布和相关量的解析表达式,例如Fisher信息矩阵和Kullback-Leibler散度,并为系统全局敏感性分析引入了一种新方法。我们还提出了用于振荡系统的统计推断和长期仿真的算法,这些算法被证明是准确的,但比跳跃算法和扩散方程积分算法要快得多。昼夜节律时钟和NF-κB系统已发布模型的随机版本用于说明我们的结果。

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