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Valuation of Mortality Risk Attributable to Climate Change: Investigating the Effect of Survey Administration Modes on a VSL

机译:气候变化导致的死亡率风险评估:调查调查管理模式对VSL的影响

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摘要

The health impact attributable to climate change has been identified as one of the priority areas for impact assessment. The main goal of this paper is to estimate the monetary value of one key health effect, which is premature mortality. Specifically, our goal is to derive the value of a statistical life from people’s willingness to pay for avoiding the risk of dying in one post-transition country in Europe, i.e., the Czech Republic. We carried out a series of conjoint choice experiments in order to value mortality risk reductions. We found the responses to the conjoint choice questions to be reasonable and consistent with the economic paradigm. The VSL is about EUR 2.4 million, and our estimate is comparable with the value of preventing a fatality as used in one of the integrated assessment models. To investigate whether carrying out the survey through the internet may violate the welfare estimate, we administered our questionnaire to two independent samples of respondents using two different modes of survey administration. The results show that the VSLs for the two groups of respondents are €2.25 and €2.55 million, and these figures are statistically indistinguishable. However, the key parameters of indirect utility between the two modes of survey administration are statistically different when specific subgroups of population, such as older respondents, are concerned. Based on this evidence, we conclude that properly designed and administered on-line surveys are a reliable method for administering questionnaires, even when the latter are cognitively challenging. However, attention should be paid to sampling and choice regarding the mode of survey administration if the preference of specific segments of the population is elicited.
机译:气候变化对健康的影响已被确定为影响评估的重点领域之一。本文的主要目的是估计一种关键的健康效应的货币价值,即过早死亡。具体来说,我们的目标是从人们愿意为避免在欧洲的一个过渡后国家(即捷克共和国)丧命的风险而付出的意愿中获得统计生命的价值。为了评估降低死亡率风险,我们进行了一系列联合选择实验。我们发现对联合选择问题的回答是合理的,并且与经济范式一致。 VSL约为240万欧元,我们的估计值与综合评估模型之一中预防死亡的价值相当。为了调查通过互联网进行的调查是否可能违反福利估计,我们使用两种不同的调查管理模式将问卷调查表分发给两个独立的受访者样本。结果显示,两组受访者的VSL分别为225万欧元和255万欧元,这些数字在统计上无法区分。但是,当关注特定的人口子群体(例如年龄较大的受访者)时,两种调查管理模式之间的间接效用的关键参数在统计上是不同的。基于这些证据,我们得出结论,即使在问卷调查具有认知挑战性的情况下,经过适当设计和管理的在线调查也是管理问卷的可靠方法。但是,如果引起特定人群的偏爱,则应注意抽样调查和调查管理方式的选择。

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