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Effects of delayed recovery and nonuniform transmission on the spreading of diseases in complex networks

机译:延迟恢复和不均匀传播对复杂网络中疾病传播的影响

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摘要

We investigate the effects of delaying the time to recovery (delayed recovery) and of nonuniform transmission on the propagation of diseases on structured populations. Through a mean-field approximation and large-scale numerical simulations, we find that postponing the transition from the infectious to the recovered states can largely reduce the epidemic threshold, therefore promoting the outbreak of epidemics. On the other hand, if we consider nonuniform transmission among individuals, the epidemic threshold increases, thus inhibiting the spreading process. When both mechanisms are at work, the latter might prevail, hence resulting in an increase of the epidemic threshold with respect to the standard case, in which both ingredients are absent. Our findings are of interest for a better understanding of how diseases propagate on structured populations and to a further design of efficient immunization strategies.
机译:我们调查延误恢复时间(延迟恢复)和不均匀传播对结构性人群疾病传播的影响。通过平均场近似和大规模数值模拟,我们发现推迟从传染状态到恢复状态的过渡可以大大降低流行阈值,从而促进流行的爆发。另一方面,如果我们考虑到个体之间的不均匀传播,则流行阈值会增加,从而抑制了传播过程。当两种机制都起作用时,后者可能占上风,因此相对于两种成分都不存在的标准情况,导致流行阈值增加。我们的发现对于更好地了解疾病如何在结构性人群中传播以及进一步设计有效的免疫策略具有重要意义。

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