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Development of Outcome-based Multipollutant Mobile Source Indicators

机译:结果为基础multipollutant流动污染源指标发展

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摘要

Multipollutant indicators of mobile source impacts are developed from readily available CO, NOx, and elemental carbon (EC) data for use in air quality and epidemiologic analysis. Two types of outcome-based integrated mobile source indicators (IMSI) are assessed. The first is derived from analysis of emissions of EC, CO and NOx such that pollutant concentrations are mixed and weighted based on emission ratios for both gasoline and diesel vehicles. The emission-based indicators (IMSIEB) capture the impact of mobile sources on air quality estimated from receptor models and their uncertainty is comparable to measurement and source apportionment uncertainties. The IMSIEB have larger correlation between two different receptor sites impacted by traffic than single pollutants, suggesting they are better indicators of the local impact of mobile sources. A sensitivity analysis of fractions of pollutants in a two-pollutant mixture and the inclusion in an epidemiologic model is conducted to develop a second set of indicators based on health outcomes. The health-based indicators (IMSIHB) are weighted combinations of CO, NOx and EC pairs that have the lowest p-value in their association with cardiovascular disease emergency department visits, possibly due to their better spatial representativeness. These outcome-based, multipollutant indicators can provide support for the setting of multipollutant air quality standards and other air quality management activities.
机译:移动源影响的多胶剂指示器是从容易获得的CO,NOX和元素碳(EC)数据开发的,用于空气质量和流行病学分析。评估了两种基于结果的集成移动源指示符(IMSI)。首先衍生自EC,CO和NOx的排放分析,使得基于汽油和柴油车辆的排放比例混合和加权污染物浓度。基于发射的指标(IMSIFB)捕获移动源对受体模型估计的空气质量的影响,并且它们的不确定性与测量和源分配不确定性相当。 IMSIEB在两种不同的受体网站受到交通影响的不同的相关性比单一污染物之间有更大的相关性,这表明它们是移动来源的局部影响的更好指标。进行双污染物混合物中污染物级分的敏感性分析,并在流行病学模型中进行夹杂物,以产生基于健康结果的第二组指标。基于健康的指标(IMSIHB)是CO,NOx和EC对的加权组合,其与心血管疾病应急部门的关联中最低的p值,可能是由于它们更好的空间代表性。这些基于结果的多体块指示器可以提供对多体空气质量标准和其他空气质量管理活动的支持。

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