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Longitudinal Data Analysis Using Bayesian-frequentist Hybrid Random Effects Model

机译:使用贝叶斯-频率混合随机效应模型进行纵向数据分析

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摘要

The mixed random effect model is commonly used in longitudinal data analysis within either frequentist or Bayesian framework. Here we consider a case, we have prior knowledge on partial-parameters, while no such information on rest. Thus, we use the hybrid approach on the random-effects model with partial-parameters. The parameters are estimated via Bayesian procedure, and the rest of parameters by the frequentist maximum likelihood estimation (MLE), simultaneously on the same model. In practices, we often know partial prior information such as, covariates of age, gender, and etc. These information can be used, and get accurate estimations in mixed random-effects model. A series of simulation studies were performed to compare the results with the commonly used random-effects model with and without partial prior information. The results in hybrid estimation (HYB) and Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) were very close each other. The estimated θ values in with partial prior information model (HYB) were more closer to true θ values, and shown less variances than without partial prior information in MLE. To compare with true θ values, the mean square of errors (MSE) are much less in HYB than in MLE. This advantage of HYB is very obvious in longitudinal data with small sample size. The methods of HYB and MLE are applied to a real longitudinal data for illustration.
机译:混合随机效应模型通常用于常客框架或贝叶斯框架内的纵向数据分析中。在这里,我们考虑一种情况,我们对分参数有先验知识,而没有关于休息的此类信息。因此,我们在具有部分参数的随机效应模型上使用了混合方法。这些参数是通过贝叶斯方法估计的,其余参数是通过同一模型上的常客最大似然估计(MLE)估计的。在实践中,我们经常知道部分先验信息,例如年龄,性别等的协变量。可以使用这些信息,并在混合随机效应模型中获得准确的估计。进行了一系列模拟研究,以将结果与常用的带有或不带有部分先验信息的随机效应模型进行比较。混合估计(HYB)和最大似然估计(MLE)的结果非常接近。在MLE中,使用部分先验信息模型(HYB)时的估计θ值更接近真实θ值,并且显示的方差比没有部分先验信息模型时小。为了与真实的θ值进行比较,HYB中的均方误差(MSE)比MLE中的均方差小得多。 HYB的这一优势在小样本的纵向数据中非常明显。 HYB和MLE的方法应用于实际纵向数据以进行说明。

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