Validation of a Cardiovascular Disease Policy Micro-simulation Model Using Both Survival and Receiver Operating Characteristic Curves

摘要

BackgroundDespite some advances, cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains the leading cause of death and healthcare costs in the U.S. We therefore developed a comprehensive CVD policy simulation model that identifies cost-effective approaches for reducing CVD burden. This paper aims to: 1) describe our model in detail; and 2) perform model validation analyses.