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Modeling Transmission Dynamics and Control of Vector-Borne Neglected Tropical Diseases

机译:传染媒介忽略的热带病传播动力学建模和控制

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摘要

Neglected tropical diseases affect more than one billion people worldwide. The populations most impacted by such diseases are typically the most resource-limited. Mathematical modeling of disease transmission and cost-effectiveness analyses can play a central role in maximizing the utility of limited resources for neglected tropical diseases. We review the contributions that mathematical modeling has made to optimizing intervention strategies of vector-borne neglected diseases. We propose directions forward in the modeling of these diseases, including integrating new knowledge of vector and pathogen ecology, incorporating evolutionary responses to interventions, and expanding the scope of sensitivity analysis in order to achieve robust results.
机译:被忽视的热带病影响全世界超过十亿人。受此类疾病影响最大的人群通常是资源最有限的人群。疾病传播和成本效益分析的数学模型可以在最大限度地利用有限资源用于被忽视的热带疾病方面发挥核心作用。我们回顾了数学建模为优化媒介传播被忽视疾病的干预策略所做的贡献。我们为这些疾病的建模提出了前进的方向,包括整合病媒和病原体生态学的新知识,纳入对干预措施的进化反应以及扩大敏感性分析的范围,以便获得可靠的结果。

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