首页> 美国卫生研究院文献>Scientific Reports >The Scaling of Human Contacts and Epidemic Processes in Metapopulation Networks
【2h】

The Scaling of Human Contacts and Epidemic Processes in Metapopulation Networks

机译:人群网络中人类接触和流行过程的扩展

代理获取
本网站仅为用户提供外文OA文献查询和代理获取服务,本网站没有原文。下单后我们将采用程序或人工为您竭诚获取高质量的原文,但由于OA文献来源多样且变更频繁,仍可能出现获取不到、文献不完整或与标题不符等情况,如果获取不到我们将提供退款服务。请知悉。

摘要

We study the dynamics of reaction-diffusion processes on heterogeneous metapopulation networks where interaction rates scale with subpopulation sizes. We first present new empirical evidence, based on the analysis of the interactions of 13 million users on Twitter, that supports the scaling of human interactions with population size with an exponent γ ranging between 1.11 and 1.21, as observed in recent studies based on mobile phone data. We then integrate such observations into a reaction- diffusion metapopulation framework. We provide an explicit analytical expression for the global invasion threshold which sets a critical value of the diffusion rate below which a contagion process is not able to spread to a macroscopic fraction of the system. In particular, we consider the Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered epidemic model. Interestingly, the scaling of human contacts is found to facilitate the spreading dynamics. This behavior is enhanced by increasing heterogeneities in the mobility flows coupling the subpopulations. Our results show that the scaling properties of human interactions can significantly affect dynamical processes mediated by human contacts such as the spread of diseases, ideas and behaviors.
机译:我们研究了异质元种群网络中反应扩散过程的动力学,其中相互作用速率随亚种群大小而扩展。我们首先基于对1300万用户在Twitter上的互动进行分析的基础上,提供新的经验证据,该证据支持人类互动随人口规模的扩展而变化,指数γ介于1.11和1.21之间,如最近基于移动电话的研究中所观察到的数据。然后,我们将这些观察结果整合到反应扩散元人口框架中。我们为全局入侵阈值提供了一个明确的分析表达式,该表达式设置了扩散速率的临界值,在该临界值以下,传染过程无法扩散到系统的宏观部分。特别是,我们考虑了易感传染病的流行病模型。有趣的是,发现人际交往的规模有利于传播动态。通过增加耦合亚群的流动性中的异质性,可以增强此行为。我们的结果表明,人际互动的缩放性质会显着影响人际交往介导的动力学过程,例如疾病,思想和行为的传播。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
代理获取

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号