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Addressing nonlinearities in Monte Carlo

机译:解决蒙特卡洛的非线性问题

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摘要

Monte Carlo is famous for accepting model extensions and model refinements up to infinite dimension. However, this powerful incremental design is based on a premise which has severely limited its application so far: a state-variable can only be recursively defined as a function of underlying state-variables if this function is linear. Here we show that this premise can be alleviated by projecting nonlinearities onto a polynomial basis and increasing the configuration space dimension. Considering phytoplankton growth in light-limited environments, radiative transfer in planetary atmospheres, electromagnetic scattering by particles, and concentrated solar power plant production, we prove the real-world usability of this advance in four test cases which were previously regarded as impracticable using Monte Carlo approaches. We also illustrate an outstanding feature of our method when applied to acute problems with interacting particles: handling rare events is now straightforward. Overall, our extension preserves the features that made the method popular: addressing nonlinearities does not compromise on model refinement or system complexity, and convergence rates remain independent of dimension.
机译:蒙特卡洛(Monte Carlo)以接受模型扩展和无穷大的模型改进而闻名。但是,这种强大的增量设计基于迄今为止严重限制了其应用的前提:如果状态变量是线性的,则只能将状态变量递归定义为基础状态变量的函数。在这里,我们表明可以通过将非线性投影到多项式上并增加配置空间尺寸来减轻这一前提。考虑到光受限环境中浮游植物的生长,行星大气中的辐射传递,粒子的电磁散射以及太阳能发电厂的集中生产,我们在四个测试案例中证明了这一进步的实际可用性,这四个测试案例以前曾被认为无法使用蒙特卡洛方法。当应用于具有相互作用的粒子的严重问题时,我们还说明了我们方法的一个突出特点:现在处理罕见事件非常简单。总体而言,我们的扩展保留了使该方法流行的功能:解决非线性问题不会影响模型的精炼或系统复杂性,并且收敛速度仍与尺寸无关。

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