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Fuzzy inference game approach to uncertainty in business decisions and market competitions

机译:模糊推理博弈方法可解决业务决策和市场竞争中的不确定性

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摘要

The increasing challenges and complexity of business environments are making business decisions and operations more difficult for entrepreneurs to predict the outcomes of these processes. Therefore, we developed a decision support scheme that could be used and adapted to various business decision processes. These involve decisions that are made under uncertain situations such as business competition in the market or wage negotiation within a firm. The scheme uses game strategies and fuzzy inference concepts to effectively grasp the variables in these uncertain situations. The games are played between human and fuzzy players. The accuracy of the fuzzy rule base and the game strategies help to mitigate the adverse effects that a business may suffer from these uncertain factors. We also introduced learning which enables the fuzzy player to adapt over time. We tested this scheme in different scenarios and discover that it could be an invaluable tool in the hand of entrepreneurs that are operating under uncertain and competitive business environments.
机译:商业环境日益严峻的挑战和复杂性使企业家难以预测这些流程的结果,从而使业务决策和运营变得更加困难。因此,我们开发了一种决策支持方案,该方案可以用于各种业务决策流程。这些涉及在不确定情况下做出的决策,例如市场中的业务竞争或公司内部的工资谈判。该方案使用博弈策略和模糊推理概念来有效把握这些不确定情况下的变量。游戏是在人类玩家和模糊玩家之间进行的。模糊规则库和博弈策略的准确性有助于减轻企业可能因这些不确定因素而遭受的不利影响。我们还引入了学习功能,使模糊的播放器能够随着时间而适应。我们在不同的场景中测试了该方案,发现在不确定和竞争激烈的商业环境中运作的企业家手中,这可能是一种宝贵的工具。

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