>Background: Rapid increases in the incidence of thyroid carcinoma with stable mortality rates from thyroid carcinoma have been reported from many countries, and these increases are thought to be due mostly to the increased detection of small papillary thyroid carcinomas (PTCs), including papillary microcarcinomas (PMCs; i.e., PTCs ≤10 mm). Some researchers have suggested that small PTCs have been overdiagnosed and overtreated. In Japan, the active surveillance of patients with low-risk PMCs was initiated by Kuma Hospital (1993) and Tokyo's Cancer Institute Hospital (1995) based on the extremely higher incidences of both latent thyroid carcinomas in autopsy studies and small PTCs detected in mass screening studies using ultrasound examinations compared to the prevalence of clinical thyroid carcinomas.>Methods: The above two institutions' data are summarized regarding the active surveillance of low-risk PMCs, and future prospects for their management are discussed.>Results: At 10-year observations in the Kuma Hospital series of 1235 patients, only 8% and 3.8% of the PMC patients showed size enlargement by ≥3 mm and the novel appearance of node metastasis, respectively. In contrast to clinical PTC, PMCs are most unlikely to grow in older patients (≥60 years). In the Kuma Hospital series, the 974 patients who underwent immediate surgery had significantly higher incidences of unfavorable events than the 1179 patients who chose active surveillance. The total cost of immediate surgery, including the costs for salvage surgery and postoperative care for 10 years, was 4.1 times the total cost of 10-year management by active surveillance. Only 8% of the 51 PMC patients showed tumor enlargement during pregnancy, and the rescue surgeries after delivery were successful. In the Cancer Institute Hospital series of 230 patients with 300 lesions, only 7% and 1% of the patients showed size enlargement and novel node metastasis, respectively, and that institution's analysis also revealed that macroscopic or rim calcification and poor vascularity were correlated with non-progressing disease. In both series, none of the patients who underwent rescue surgery after progression signs were detected showed significant recurrence or died of PTC.>Conclusion: Active surveillance of low-risk PMC can be the first-line management. Interestingly, older patients with low-risk PMCs are the best candidates for active surveillance.
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