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Temporal and spatial changes in social vulnerability to natural hazards

机译:社会对自然灾害的脆弱性的时空变化

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摘要

During the past four decades (1960–2000), the United States experienced major transformations in population size, development patterns, economic conditions, and social characteristics. These social, economic, and built-environment changes altered the American hazardscape in profound ways, with more people living in high-hazard areas than ever before. To improve emergency management, it is important to recognize the variability in the vulnerable populations exposed to hazards and to develop place-based emergency plans accordingly. The concept of social vulnerability identifies sensitive populations that may be less likely to respond to, cope with, and recover from a natural disaster. Social vulnerability is complex and dynamic, changing over space and through time. This paper presents empirical evidence on the spatial and temporal patterns in social vulnerability in the United States from 1960 to the present. Using counties as our study unit, we found that those components that consistently increased social vulnerability for all time periods were density (urban), race/ethnicity, and socioeconomic status. The spatial patterning of social vulnerability, although initially concentrated in certain geographic regions, has become more dispersed over time. The national trend shows a steady reduction in social vulnerability, but there is considerable regional variability, with many counties increasing in social vulnerability during the past five decades.
机译:在过去的四个十年中(1960-2000年),美国经历了人口规模,发展模式,经济条件和社会特征的重大转变。这些社会,经济和建筑环境的变化深刻地改变了美国的危险景观,居住在高危险地区的人口比以往任何时候都要多。为了改善应急管理,重要的是要认识到易受伤害的脆弱人群的变化,并据此制定基于地方的应急计划。社会脆弱性的概念确定了敏感人群,这些人群不太可能对自然灾害做出反应,应对和从自然灾害中恢复。社会脆弱性是复杂而动态的,随着空间和时间而变化。本文提供了从1960年到现在的美国社会脆弱性时空格局的经验证据。以县为研究单位,我们发现在所有时间段内持续增加社会脆弱性的因素是人口密度(城市),种族/民族和社会经济地位。社会脆弱性的空间格局虽然最初集中在某些地理区域,但随着时间的流逝变得越来越分散。全国趋势显示,社会脆弱性稳步下降,但是区域差异很大,在过去的五十年中,许多县的社会脆弱性有所增加。

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