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Climate Extremes in Consecutive Years Impacted the Number and Fate of Duck Nests on Great Salt Lake Marshes

机译:连续几年的极端气候影响了大盐湖沼泽地鸭巢的数量和命运

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摘要

The number of ground‐nesting ducks in the marshes of Great Salt Lake (GSL), Utah has drastically decreased in the past few decades. One potential cause for this decline is the increase in climate extremes caused by global warming. From 2019 through 2023, GSL marshes experienced 1 year of historic spring rainfall (2019), 2 years of historic droughts (2021 and 2022), and 1 year of record snowfall (2023). We used this time period to test the hypothesis that climate extremes impact both the number of duck nests and their fate (i.e., successful, depredated, or abandoned). We counted 563 nests of cinnamon teal (Spatula cyanoptera), 168 mallards ( Anas platyrhynchos ), and 220 gadwalls (Mareca strepera). Nest numbers varied among years and were positively correlated with the amount of spring rainfall (April and May). Clutch sizes differed among years and were lowest during the drought years. Raccoons ( Procyon lotor ) and striped skunks ( Mephitis mephitis ) were the major predators of nests. The percentage of all duck nests that were depredated varied among years and increased from 40% and 46% during the 2 wet years to 75% and 90% during the 2 drought years. The percentage of nests that were successful varied among years and were highest during the wet years. The yearly percentage of successful nests was negatively correlated with the abundance of all predators and positively correlated with snowfall because few skunks and raccoons survived the winter of 2023 with its heavy snowfall. Daily survival rates (x¯ = 0.93), were similar among duck species, but varied among years; DSRs were lowest during the drought years (0.86 and 0.92) and highest during the wet years (0.96 for both years). Our results suggest that climate extremes will have an adverse impact on both the number of duck nests and the percentage of them that are successful.
机译:在过去的几十年里,犹他州大盐湖 (GSL) 沼泽地中筑巢的鸭子数量急剧减少。这种下降的一个潜在原因是全球变暖引起的极端气候事件的增加。从 2019 年到 2023 年,GSL 沼泽地经历了 1 年的历史性春季降雨量(2019 年)、2 年的历史性干旱(2021 年和 2022 年)和 1 年创纪录的降雪量(2023 年)。我们利用这个时间段来检验极端气候影响鸭巢数量及其命运(即成功、被掠夺或被遗弃)的假设。我们统计了 563 个肉桂蓝绿色 (Spatula cyanoptera) 巢、168 只绿头鸭 (Anas platyrhynchos) 和 220 只牛墙 (Mareca strepera)。巢穴数量因年份而异,与春季降雨量(4 月和 5 月)呈正相关。离合器大小因年份而异,在干旱年份最低。浣熊 ( Procyon lotor ) 和条纹臭鼬 ( Mephitis mephitis ) 是巢穴的主要捕食者。所有鸭巢被废弃的百分比因年份而异,从 2 个多雨年份的 40% 和 46% 增加到 2 个干旱年份的 75% 和 90%。成功筑巢的百分比因年份而异,在丰水年最高。成功筑巢的年百分比与所有捕食者的丰度呈负相关,与降雪量呈正相关,因为很少有臭鼬和浣熊在 2023 年冬季的大雪中幸存下来。鸭子物种的日存活率 (x ̄ = 0.93) 相似,但不同年份不同;DSR 在干旱年份最低 (0.86 和 0.92),在丰水年份最高 (两年均为 0.96)。我们的结果表明,极端气候将对鸭巢的数量和成功的百分比产生不利影响。

著录项

  • 期刊名称 Ecology and Evolution
  • 作者

    Michael R Conover; Mark E Bell;

  • 作者单位
  • 年(卷),期 2024(14),12
  • 年度 2024
  • 页码 e70630
  • 总页数 11
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    机译:肉桂蓝绿色;每日存活率;破损巢穴;牛头鸭;孵化-起始日期;绿头鸭;巢穴密度;巢穴成功率;浣熊;条纹臭鼬;
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