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Is Bitcoin’s Carbon Footprint Persistent? Multifractal Evidence and Policy Implications

机译:比特币的碳足迹是持久的吗?多重分形证据和政策影响

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摘要

The Bitcoin mining process is energy intensive, which can hamper the much-desired ecological balance. Given that the persistence of high levels of energy consumption of Bitcoin could have permanent policy implications, we examine the presence of long memory in the daily data of the Bitcoin Energy Consumption Index (BECI) (BECI upper bound, BECI lower bound, and BECI average) covering the period 25 February 2017 to 25 January 2022. Employing fractionally integrated GARCH (FIGARCH) and multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MFDFA) models to estimate the order of fractional integrating parameter and compute the Hurst exponent, which measures long memory, this study shows that distant series observations are strongly autocorrelated and long memory exists in most cases, although mean-reversion is observed at the first difference of the data series. Such evidence for the profound presence of long memory suggests the suitability of applying permanent policies regarding the use of alternate energy for mining; otherwise, transitory policy would quickly become obsolete. We also suggest the replacement of ‘proof-of-work’ with ‘proof-of-space’ or ‘proof-of-stake’, although with a trade-off (possible security breach) to reduce the carbon footprint, the implementation of direct tax on mining volume, or the mandatory use of carbon credits to restrict the environmental damage.
机译:比特币挖矿过程是能源密集型的,这可能会阻碍人们渴望已久的生态平衡。鉴于比特币持续高能耗可能会产生永久性的政策影响,我们研究了 2017 年 2 月 25 日至 2022 年 1 月 25 日期间的比特币能源消耗指数 (BECI) 的每日数据(BECI 上限、BECI 下限和 BECI 平均值)是否存在长内存。采用分数积分 GARCH (FIGARCH) 和多分形去趋势波动分析 (MFDFA) 模型来估计分数积分参数的顺序并计算测量长记忆的 Hurst 指数,这项研究表明,远距离序列观测是强自相关的,并且在大多数情况下存在长记忆,尽管在数据序列的第一个差异处观察到均值回归。这种证明长期记忆存在的证据表明,对使用替代能源进行采矿的永久政策是合适的;否则,临时策略将很快过时。我们还建议用“空间证明”或“权益证明”代替“工作量证明”,但需要权衡(可能的安全漏洞)以减少碳足迹,对采矿量征收直接税,或强制使用碳信用额来限制环境破坏。

著录项

  • 期刊名称 Entropy
  • 作者

    Bikramaditya Ghosh; Elie Bouri;

  • 作者单位
  • 年(卷),期 2022(24),5
  • 年度 2022
  • 页码 647
  • 总页数 12
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    机译:比特币碳足迹、比特币挖矿、能源消耗、FIGARCH、MFDFA、长内存、Hurst 指数、永久政策;
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