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Unemployment and Mortality: A Comparative Study of Germany and the United States

机译:失业与死亡率:德国和美国的比较研究

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摘要

Objectives. We examined the relationship between unemployment and mortality in Germany, a coordinated market economy, and the United States, a liberal market economy.Methods. We followed 2 working-age cohorts from the German Socio-economic Panel and the US Panel Study of Income Dynamics from 1984 to 2005. We defined unemployment as unemployed at the time of survey. We used discrete-time survival analysis, adjusting for potential confounders.Results. There was an unemployment–mortality association among Americans (relative risk [RR] = 2.4; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.7, 3.4), but not among Germans (RR = 1.4; 95% CI = 1.0, 2.0). In education-stratified models, there was an association among minimum-skilled (RR = 2.6; 95% CI = 1.4, 4.7) and medium-skilled (RR = 2.4; 95% CI = 1.5, 3.8) Americans, but not among minimum- and medium-skilled Germans. There was no association among high-skilled Americans, but an association among high-skilled Germans (RR = 3.0; 95% CI = 1.3, 7.0), although this was limited to those educated in East Germany. Minimum- and medium-skilled unemployed Americans had the highest absolute risks of dying.Conclusions. The higher risk of dying for minimum- and medium-skilled unemployed Americans, not found among Germans, suggests that the unemployment–mortality relationship may be mediated by the institutional and economic environment.
机译:目标。我们研究了德国(一个协调的市场经济)和美国(一个自由市场经济)的失业率与死亡率之间的关系。我们追踪了1984年至2005年德国社会经济专家小组和美国专家小组关于收入动态的2个工作年龄队列。在调查时,我们将失业定义为失业。我们使用离散时间生存分析,对潜在的混杂因素进行了调整。美国人之间存在失业与死亡的关联(相对风险[RR] = 2.4; 95%置信区间[CI] = 1.7,3.4),但德国人之间没有(RR =; 1.4; 95%CI = 1.0,2.0)。在教育分层模型中,最低技能的美国人(RR = 2.6; 95%CI = 1.4,4.7)和中等技能的人(RR = 2.4; 95%CI = 1.5,3.8)之间存在关联,但在最低身分之间-中级技能的德国人。高技能的美国人之间没有联系,高技能的德国人之间没有联系(RR = 3.0; 95%CI = 1.3,7.0),尽管这仅限于在东德受过教育的人。最低技能和中等技能的失业者的绝对死亡风险最高。结论。未在德国人中发现的最低技能和中等技能的失业者更高的死亡风险表明,失业与死亡率的关系可能是由制度和经济环境来调节的。

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