Based on the accident happened in Shanghai No.10 subway,the article uses the event tree analysis to perform the qualitative and quantitative determination on the proce-dure and probability,and proposes corresponding countermeasure.%文章以上海地铁十号线追尾事故为例,运用系统工程事件树分析法,对轨道交通事故发生的动态过程及概率进行了定性和定量分析,并提出了相应的防范措施。
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