山东省碳排放时空格局及其与经济增长相关性分析

摘要

Based on the relevant data of Shandong Province Statistics Yearbook, accounting Shandong Province in the years 2000~2010 and 17 provincial cities energy consumption and farmland system of carbon emissions, forest grassland carbon sequestration. And select the indicators of per capita carbon emissions, carbon emission intensity, using the Gini coefficient and other means, combined with GIS spatial analysis method, the temporal variations of the carbon emissions in Shandong, on this basis, the use of the Kuznets curve analysis, analysis of economic growth the pattern of carbon emissions. Studies have shown that:Shandong Province carbon emissions change over time showed a clear upward trend, which a large proportion of energy emissions, and the more obvious differences between regions, showing the middle edge of the low distribution characteristics. At the same time, the linear correlation between GDP per capita carbon emission intensity was inverted U-shaped curve.%基于《山东省统计年鉴》，核算2000~2010年间山东省及17个省辖市能源消费、农田系统碳排放量、森林草地碳汇量。选取人均碳排放量、碳排放强度等指标，利用基尼系数，结合GIS空间分析法分析山东碳排放的时空规律，并利用库兹涅茨曲线分析经济增长对碳排放格局的影响。研究表明：山东省碳排放量随时间变化呈较为明显的上升趋势，其中能源排放比重较大，区域之间存在明显的差异，呈现出中间高边缘低的分布特征；人均GDP与碳排放强度之间存在线性相关关系，呈倒U型曲线。