上海市产业结构调整对货运量的影响分析

摘要

分析上海市产业结构调整对货运量的影响。通过定性分析上海市货运量的增长趋势，采用灰色关联分析和回归模型定量得到上海市产业结构与总货运量的关联度以及产业结构变动对单位GDP货运量的影响。文中结论用于货运需求预测以及宏观把握货运业的发展趋势方面研究，为货运业未来的发展规划提供依据。%It presents the impact of the change of industrial structure on freight volume in Shanghai. Firstly, the increasing tendency of freight volume is analyzed. Then, a quantitative study is made on the rela- tionship between the industrial structure and freight volume as well as the impact of the change of the in- dustrial structure on the freight volume per GDP by using the grey correlation analysis and regression model. Finally, the variations of total freight volume and freight volume per GDP are obtained. The con- clusion can be used to forecast the freight volume and catch the future development trends, which provides a foundation to make strategy and plan for freightage in the future.