我国省域碳排放量与经济增长、环境规制、产业结构和居民生活消费间关系的实证分析

摘要

Using the cross-sectional data about 30 provinces and autonomous regions,this paper constructs a dynamic panel data model with fixed effect to test empirically the relationships between carbon emission and the following indicators： environmental regulation, economic growth, industrial structure and resident＇s living consumption. The result shows as follows：environmental regulation, economic growth,industri- al structure and resident＇s living consumption are all the important factors influencing carbon emission, and have positive correlation with the lat- ter;there are the regional difference in spontaneous carbon emission in China, and the spontaneous carbon emission in eastern region is lower than the average level, followed by that in central region, and that in western region is the highest. Finally,it puts forward policy suggestions.%利用1998—2009年我国30个省（自治区、直辖市）的相关截面数据,构建了固定效应面板数据模型,对我国省域碳排放量与环境规制、经济增长、产业机构和居民生活消费的关系进行了实证分析。结果表明：经济发展水平、产业结构、居民生活消费和环境规制均是影响我国碳排放量的重要因素,且前者均与后者正相关;我国的自发碳排放量存在一定的区域性差异,东部地区各省市的自发碳排放量低于全国平均水平,中部地区次之,西部地区最高。最后,结合我国实际提出具体的政策建议。