基于断点回归法的 '新农保'主观福利效应检验

摘要

在家庭养老功能日益弱化的中国农村,人口老龄化却日益严重,而如何实现"老有所养、老有所乐"的幸福老龄化社会已成为全社会关注的热点.已有文献主要研究的是养老金对老年人收入、消费、家庭代际转移等客观经济福利的影响,较少关注"新农保"的主观福利效应以及政策效果的异质性问题.利用CHARLS项目发布的2011-2012年全国调研数据,采用断点回归法研究"新农保"的主观福利效应,结果发现"新农保"不但能显著提高不同文化水平、不同健康状况、不同收入水平老年人的生活满意度,而且存在群体异质性,对弱势群体的政策效果更为明显.%China's rural family endowment functions are increasingly weakening and ageing population is growing.How to realize the happy old society of "the old be raised, the old be happy" is a hot topic of the whole society.The existing literature mainly studies the impact of pensions on the objective economic welfare of the elderly, such as income, consumption, family intergenerational transfer, and less pay attention to the subjective welfare effect and the heterogeneity of policy effect.By using CHARLS project's latest national survey data from 2011 to 2012, this paper studied the subjective welfare effect of NRPS by RD method.The results showed that the NRPS could significantly improve the elderly life satisfaction of different cultures level, different income level and different health condition.Therefore, although the NRPS level is low, but its symbolic sense is more apprent than its economic sense.