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人民币国际化的思考与分析

     

摘要

阐述了人民币国际化道路,指出人民币国际化应寻求独特发展之路,不能放弃人民币主权货币特征.系统论述并指出实现人民币国际化,需历经区域螺旋、功能螺旋的"双螺旋、三步走"上升发展路径和缓释限制人民币可兑换的"三三制"道路.另一方面,阐释了通过促进人民币为主导的亚洲货币联盟,推动人民币国际化的策略,并分析存在的困难.最后,阐明了人民币国际化面临的冲击和亟待解决的重要问题,指出人民币国际化必须解决海外人民币回流渠道、保持人民币信用和货币稳定,必须强化金融基础设施建设.%the present paper The existing international reserve currency system must undergo a great reform with the introdution of new international currencies.Based on a review of previous research, this paper analysis the necessity and foundation of RMB internationalization, pointing out that the internalization is in accordance with China's longterm benefit ,and discuss the lessons and experience from the internationalization of Japanese Yen and German Mark in detail, claiming that Yen's internationalization has turned from a functional strategy to a strategy aimed at Asian regionalization.Furthermore, the present paper suggests the strategy for RMB to get internationalized, which is to maintain monetary sovereignty of Chinese RMB while following a way featured by helix structures in both regionalization and function, and to gradually loosing the limitation upon RMB's free exchange.Besides, the present paper shows the approach of realizing RMB's internationalization by making it a leading role in Asian Monetary Union.Finally, the article discusses the possible difficulties in this process of RMB's internationalization and immediate measures that must be taken, pointing out the necessity of a smooth channel for RMB abroad to return to China, the stability of RMB's credit and value, and the financial infrastructure construction.

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