机场旅客吞吐量的影响因素与预测方法探讨

摘要

Forecast of passenger throughput is very important for airport construction and management.This paper analyzed factors that possibly influence airport passenger throughput,distilled the most pivotal factors by principal component analysis,anatomized inherent mechanism of effects of airport passenger throughput,and putforward a forecasting model based on the mechanism.%旅客吞吐量的预测对于机场的建设和管理具有重要的意义，本文从可能影响机场旅客吞吐量的若干因素出发，采用主成分分析法提取了最关键因素，剖析了机场旅客吞吐量的内在影响机理，构造了一种基于其影响机理的预测方法。