生产性服务业集聚能否促进我国产业结构优化升级?——基于2005-2013年省际面板数据的实证检验

摘要

This paper estimates the concentration degree of the producer services of Chinese 30 provinces and cities,analyzes the provincial differences and dynamic trends.Then based on the econometric model,this paper empirically tested the effects of the producer services agglomeration on the industrial structure optimization and upgrading,making industrial structure optimization(IND)as the dependent variable,the producer services agglomeration(LQ) as the core explanatory variable,and the foreign direct investment(FDI),the economic growth level (RGDP),the technological progress(TEC),the urbanization level (URBAN)as the control variables.The results showed thatthe producer services industry had the trend of agglomeration during 2005 to 2013,but the concentration degree was not balanced;the producer services agglomeration had an significant positive effect on the industrial structure optimization and upgrading;the urbanization level and the economic growth level had the promoting effect on China's industrial structure optimization and upgrading,but the foreign direct investment and the technological progress had the negative effect.%测算我国30个省区市的生产性服务业集聚程度,分析省际差异与动态趋势.以产业结构优化(IND)为因变量、生产性服务业集聚度(LQ)作为核心解释变量,将外商直接投资(FDI)、经济增长水平(R GDP)、技术进步(TEC)、城市化水平(URBAN)作为控制变量,实证检验生产性服务业集聚对产业结构优化升级的影响.研究表明:2005-2013年间,我国各省区市的生产性服务业呈集聚发展态势,但省际间不均衡特征明显;生产性服务业集聚能显著促进我国产业结构优化升级;城镇化水平、经济增长亦对我国产业结构优化升级具有正效应,但外商直接投资、技术进步呈负效应.