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中国社会保障与经济发展耦合协调度的时空特征分析

             

摘要

Based on the constructed coupling index system reflecting the social security and economic development , the paper study the coordination of them from the perspective of space-time using methods of the coupling coordinated degree model .The results of the time perspective show , social security and economic development in China maintained a positive interaction since 2003, the relationship between them gradually moving from the amelioration phase to coordinated adaptation . The results of the space perspective show , the coupling coordinated between them in China presents obvious regional differences . The level of economic development displays obviously decreasing tendency from the East to the Mid-west, while the level of social security displays the shape of “U”. Looking from the coordination level , the provincial characteristics of the coupling coordinated between social security and economic development present the shape of “the rugby”, the provinces belonging to the better coordinated and the serious imbalance are few , while most of provinces are intermediate types , such as the mild imbalance and basic coordination .The coordinated degree in Eastern provinces obviously surpassed the Mid-western provinces .%在建立社会保障与经济发展耦合系统评价指标体系的基础上,运用耦合协调度模型,从时空角度对中国社会保障与经济发展的协调发展程度进行了研究,系统论述了两者的区域差异。从时序角度研究表明,2003年以来中国社会保障与经济发展保持着良性互动,两者关系从磨合阶段逐渐趋向协调适应。从空间角度研究表明,两者的耦合协调度呈现较为明显的区域差异,经济发展水平总体呈现从东部向中西部逐渐递减的“阶梯”分布格局;而社会保障水平整体呈现两头高、中间低的“U”型分布格局。从协调等级看,社会保障与经济发展耦合度的省域特征呈现“橄榄型”,即良好协调和中度失调的省份较少;轻度失调和基本协调的省份较多,并且东部地区协调度明显优于中西部地区。

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