For analyzing the hit number of anti ship missiles and probability of damage to enemy ships under the condition of warship target counter attack, the target ammunition consumption of anti-ship missile is studied. Firstly, models based on the number of resist have been set up according to the characteristics of different stages of the fight against the target, and then set up the model of ammunition consumption for a single warship target attack, finally combined with different damage criteria, the damage efficiency of the anti ship missile has been verified by simulation. The simulation results show that: the wounded enemy probability of the calculated number of missile launching example reached 75%. It provides a useful reference for the research and development of the theory of operational effectiveness of shipboard weapons, which meets the operational requirements.%为分析在舰艇单目标抗击条件下反舰导弹的命中数量及对敌舰船造成毁伤的概率,对反舰导弹突击舰艇目标弹药消耗量进行建模仿真研究.根据目标的阶段抗击特征对其抗击次数进行建模,进而建立反舰导弹对舰艇单目标弹药消耗量的模型,结合不同毁伤标准,对反舰导弹的毁伤效能进行仿真应用验证.仿真结果表明:算例中计算出的导弹发射数量,其重伤敌舰的概率达到了75%,满足作战要求,为舰载武器作战效能理论的研究及发展提供了有益的借鉴.
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