城镇化、人民生活水平与旅游业发展的空间机理研究

摘要

Based on the basic theory of spatial econometrics,the paper has been studied the interaction mechanism between urbanization,people’s living standards and the development of tourism in 2010-2013,with the virtual variable of geographic features. Research results show that:The development of the tourism industry has been shown a significant spatial correlation , and which has already formed a stable cluster of differentiation in China during 2010-2013;the change of urbanization rate has not shown a significant direct impact on the development of the tourism industry ,but which has a potential role in promot-ing; the improvement of living standards of urban people is a significant positive promotion to the development of the tourism industry,but rural people’s living standards are not related. In addition,tourism investment and geographical features have a significant impact on the formation of spatial agglomeration of tourism in China.%本文基于空间计量经济学基本原理，引入地理地貌虚拟变量，对2010—2013年我国城镇化、人民生活水平与旅游业发展的相互作用机理进行了分析。研究结果显示，2010—2013年间中国旅游业发展存在显著的空间相关性，而且在地理区位上已然形成了稳固的差异化集聚群体；城镇化率变化虽未表现出对旅游业发展的显著直接影响，但是却有着潜在推动作用；城镇人民生活水平提高表现出对旅游业发展的显著正向促进，而农村人民生活水平则为不相关。此外，旅游业投资、地理地貌情况也对我国旅游业空间集聚的形成有着显著影响。