1990-2010年中国主要港口与港城发展及其关联度特征研究

摘要

港口作为中国融入世界经济的平台，港口和港口城市的发展密切相关。本文选取中国十四个主要港口城市，通过构建灰色关联模型深入分析研究了1990-2010年中国主要港口、城市发展特征及港城关联度。研究表明：①二十年间，城市港口吞吐量规模差异缩小，增长率差异增大；②随着港口经济的发展，港口城市的外向型经济特征发展显著；③1990-2010年间港城关系的发展呈现阶段化发展特征：1990-1995年以及2005年之后呈现较高的港城关联度，1995-2005年呈现相对较低的港城关联度。%Ports serve as the platform when China enters the global economy, and the relationship between ports and cities is closely related in China. Choosing the fourteen main container port cities in China, this paper uses gray correlative analysis to measure the associative structure degree between the main container ports and their corresponding cities.The results of this study have shown as follows:(1)The disparities of cargo throughputs decrease while the disparities of growth index increase during 1990-2010.(2)The outward-oriented characteristic of main container port cities’ economy is significant as port economy develops.(3)The associative degree between main container ports and cities presented a phasal variation characteristic:the associative degree is strongly related in the period of 1990-1995, 2000-2005; however, it is relatively weak during the period of 1995-2000.