1990-2010年广东省人口与经济空间集聚特征研究

摘要

本文以广东省1990、2000、2005、2010年的人口普查数据和GDP数据为主要指标，通过运用GeoDA软件的空间自相关分析模块，分析各县（市区）人口、经济集聚特征及两者空间上的协调关系及差异。结果表明：（1）广东省各县（市区）的人口和GDP空间分布表现出显著的高值和低值集聚特征，人口和经济空间集聚格局变化平稳但区域间经济发展差异日益扩大；（2）广东省人口与经济空间集聚均形成珠三角高高集聚和粤北山区低低集聚的基本格局；（3）广东省各县（市区）人口与经济发展存在明显的地域不均衡性，协调发展类型可划分为高水平协调型、低水平协调型、滞后型和超前型四类。分析指出广东人口与经济发展空间差异的主要影响因素是自然条件、历史发展基础、区位条件、区域政策和区域空间效应等，并提出增强珠三角辐射带动能力和发展粤东西北经济增长极等促进区域协调发展的建议。%Based on the census and GDP data in 1990,2000,2005,2010,the distributions of population and economic concentra-tion and the relationship between these two indexes of counties (urban) in Guangdong Province were analyzed by using GeoDA spatial auto-correlation analysis method. The results of the analysis show that:(1) the spatial distributions of population and eco-nomic have significant high and low agglomeration characteristics. The spatial agglomeration pattern of population and economic changes smoothly while differences in economic development between regions gradually larger;(2)The distributions of population and economic in Guangdong are approximation, all are characterized with high-high spatial agglomeration in Pearl River Delta and low-low spatial agglomeration in north Guangdong mountainous;(3) Population and economic development of counties (urban) in Guangdong province have obvious regional imbalance, the coordinated development of type can be divided into high level coordi-nation , low level coordination, retarded and advanced four classes. Analysis pointed out that the main driving factors of spatial difference in Guangdong population and economic development is natural conditions,the basis of the historical development, loca-tion,regional policy and spatial effect, and proposed to strengthen the radiating and driving capability of the Pearl River Delta and develop economic growth pole of eastern western northern area of Guangdong, etc. to promote coordinated regional development.