物流业发展与地区进出口贸易:来自中国省级面板数据的实证分析

摘要

In this paper, by selecting mileage of highway per unit area, mileage of waterway per unit area, and mileage of railway per unit area as the representative parameters of the development of the regional logistics industry and using the province-level panel data of China between 2001 and 2010, we examined the influence of the development of the logistics industry on the import and export of the region and found that the mileage of highway and waterway had positive elasticity with the import and export trade yet the former was more significandy so than the latter; since it didn't separate passenger transportation and freight transportation, its regression result was not relevant.%选取了单位面积公路里程、单位面积水路里程和单位面积铁路里程作为地区物流业发展的代理变量.利用2001-2010年中国省级面板数据,考察了物流业发展对地区进出口贸易的影响.结论发现:我国地区单位面积公路里程和单位面积水路里程的进出口贸易弹性为正,但其值前者明显大于后者；而由于单位面积铁路里程并没有将货运和客运区分开来,回归结果并不显著.