机场吞吐量增长与区域经济发展的关系研究—以首都机场为例

摘要

In this paper, we used the Granger causality test to study the relationship between the throughput growth of airports and regional economic development, then in the case of the Capital Airport for the period between 1990 and 2012, examined repeatedly the causal relationship between the throughput growth of the airport and the economic development of Beijing, and found that after the commissioning of the new terminal building, the economic development of Beijing had a unidirectional Granger causal relationship with the development of the aviation transportation industry while the development of the Capita Airport didn't propel the growth of the national economy of the city.%应用格兰杰因果关系检验法来研究机场吞吐量增长和地区经济发展的关系.以1990-2012年首都机场的旅客吞吐量、货邮吞吐量和北京市GDP作为基础数据,并且将这些年的面板数据分割为1990-1999年、1991-2000年……和2003-2012年等14个时间段,滚动检验机场吞吐量与地区GDP的因果关系.结果表明,新候机楼投入使用后,北京经济发展对航空运输发展均存在单向的格兰杰解释,即北京国民经济的增长带动了地方机场的发展,而北京机场的发展却没有推动国民经济的增长.